Western Australia Tomorrow is a set of forecasts* representing the best estimate of Western Australia’s future population size based on current fertility, mortality and migration trends. These trend forecasts are used to identify potential preferred future scenarios that can be built upon; as well as less favourable possibilities for which mitigating action can be taken.
The State Government has released a number of planning strategies to best manage predicted future population trends across Western Australia. These include Perth and Peel @ 3.5 million, Directions 2031 and beyond and a series of regional blueprints.
The aggregate forecast presented in Perth and Peel @ 3.5 million is consistent with WA Tomorrow; while in other documents such as the regional blueprints, the forecasts represent aspirational targets for the communities involved, based on a view that assumes a series of interventions.
Future Western Australia Tomorrow forecasts will incorporate changes achieved through these planning strategies.
Western Australia Tomorrow includes a forecast range known as ‘bands’. Users can choose from five forecasts (bands) which best suit their purposes. Bands A and B contain the lower forecasts, Band C is the median forecast and bands D and E represent the higher forecasts.
*As with the previous set of forecasts, the terms ’forecast’ and ‘projection’ have the same meaning within this document.
Current population projections
Western Australia Tomorrow, Population Report No. 10, Medium-term Forecasts for Western Australia 2014-2026 and Sub-regions 2016-2026
- Western Australia (xls 1.4MB) or (pdf 104kb and csv 613kb)
- SA2 - Australian Statistical Geography Standard (xls 6MB) or (pdf 104kb, Age/Sex csv 7.8MB and Total Population csv 155kb)
- Local government area (xls 3.8MB) or (pdf 104kb, Age/Sex csv 4,45MB and Total Population csv 87kb)
- SA3 - Australian Statistical Geography Standard (xls 1.5MB) or (pdf 104kb, Age/Sex csv, 1MB and Total Population csv 1MB)
- SA4 - Australian Statistical Geography Standard (xls 905kb) or (pdf 104kb, Age/Sex csv, 328kb and Total Population csv 8kb)
- Development Commission Regions (xls 927kb) or (pdf 104kb, Age/Sex csv 309kb and Total Population csv 8kb)
Western Australia Tomorrow, Population Report No. 9, Long Term Population Forecasts for Western Australia, 2031 to 2061.
Household forecasts - Western Australia Tomorrow, Population Report No. 8, 2006-2026, July 2012
Household projections are useful for understanding future housing needs and associated service provision. These projections are based on the Western Australia Tomorrow population forecasts and as such, include a level of uncertainty.
Forecasts are provided for family and group household size, by local government authority. Forecasts also include the number of people in lone person households and non-private dwellings.
Household forecasts for all local government areas in Western Australia
- Household forecasts (pdf 1.2MB)
- Household projections (xls 375kb)
- Household projections by type (xls 976kb)
Previous population projections:
- 2012: Western Australia Tomorrow, Population Report No. 7, 2006 to 2026. February 2012
- 2005: Western Australia tomorrow, Population projections for planning regions 2004 to 2031 and local government areas 2004 to 2021, Population Report No.6 November 2005
- 2000: Western Australia Tomorrow Population Projections for the Statistical Divisions, Planning Regions and Local Government areas of Western Australia, Population Report No. 4 October 2000
- 1996: Population Projections for Local Government Areas in Western Australia 1991 to 2011, Population Report No. 1. June 1996
- 1991: Population projections for Perth local government areas: 1986 - 2006, August 1991
- 1988: The Population of Western Australia: 1976 to 2021 December 1988